What's Happening in Phoenix, Scottsdale & Paradise Valley Real Estate?

Real estate in the Valley of the Sun is dynamic! Miss a minute, miss a lot. Check back regularly to stay on the top of the latest affecting Metro Phoenix, including Phoenix, Scottsdale & Paradise Valley. Can't find what you're looking for here? Call, text or email me. I’ll help you find what you need.

 

Knowledge is power!

Aug. 7, 2014

A Slowdown for Rentals as Real Estate Recovery Continues?

This morning, ARMLS released it's Rent Check statistics for August 2014 showcasing the Valley's leasing market. Year to date in the Phoenix area, rentals continue to perform very well in comparison to the previous years going back to 2005. Leases did make up a significant portion of my business in areas of Scottsdale from Old Town Scottsdale to McCormick Ranch, Grayhawk and beyond.  However, it's interesting to note that for year to date data, closed leases are actually off by 10%.

20140807-RENT Check August 2014 - rent-check-august-2014

Last year, the number of rentals ticked up substantially in the month of August, but if you look at the graph, July 2014 was already lower than June. And if you look even closer, both the month of June & July for 2014 were had fewer leased homes than the same periods in both 2013 & 2012. This may be a turning point for landlords both private and institutional as the market shifts back toward home-ownership from leasing as many people scarred by the real estate and economic downturn regain their foothold on their wealth and credit.

Landlords, strongly start to think about your options should the rental pool of good applicants start to shrink come time to renew your next lease. Are you in a position to release your property because of the location or other attributes that make it desirable regardless of the market, or will vacancies and expenses diminish your profits to where it is no longer a good investment option.

Food for thought! Have a great day!

 

Related Articles:

Are the Tides Turning In Favor of Phoenix & Scottsdale Sellers?

What to Know About Zestimates® & Online Property “Estimates”

Top 10 Reasons Owning Your Home Beats Renting One

June 28, 2014

Are the Tides Turning In Favor of Phoenix & Scottsdale Sellers?

DSC05581These are some insightful statements from the Cromford Reports for today (6/28/14):

"One of the more surprising things about the market this month is the relative scarcity of new listings. Over the last 4 weeks we have seen 5.5% fewer new listings added to the ARMLS database than during the same period in 2013. This is a total of 8,584 compared with 9,088 in 2013 and 8,971 in 2012. Since 2012 was a very weak year for new listings, in fact the lowest since our records started in 2000, this means we are setting new record lows at the moment. This is a recent development. Just last month we had slightly more new listings (up 0.7%) during the prior 4 weeks than at the same time last year. The trend appears to be accelerating too. In the last week we saw 11.4% fewer new listings than in the same period in 2013.

This lack of new supply is helping to balance out the effect of the continuing low demand. Normally at this time of year we start to see the active listing counts start to increase because buyers are less active during the months when high temperatures are consistently measured with 3 digits. However listing cancellation and expiry rates are much higher than last year so active listing counts are still falling.

If demand were to recover from its current lull then low supply could quickly become a serious problem for buyers as it was in 2012 and the first half of 2013."

Interestingly enough, I met with 2 different clients this week contemplating what to do their homes with impending relocations- both were in the $400K-$500K range, one in Scottsdale's 85254 zip code and the other in McCormick Ranch (85258). As I ran the numbers to see where values were, I was surprised at the fact there were as many or more sold & pending comps as there were active comps for each home. Mind you the $400-500K range is experiencing a boost at this point, performing better than other price segments, including the $300-400K range.

Spring 2014 has been the weakest in years as mostly a "buyer's market" and overall sales volume is down due to lower buyer demand, despite an overabundance of supply. Whereas a few months ago, I would have had to say, "Maybe you should consider renting...", selling is appearing to be the better way to go to make a clean break from a home.

Also interesting was that ARMLS's Weekly Lockbox Report indicates that lockbox activity is up nearly 6% over the last week and many colleagues I've spoken with recently also report more showings and calls for their listings. I can personally attest to having received 4 different showing requests in just the last 2-3 days alone for my listings. My phone seemingly has been perpetually recharging due to overuse and I'm now well over my allotted text limit for the month (a first for me!). In looking at that ARMLS report a bit closer, it actually appears that lockbox activity is not too far off from what it was last year...

Could it be that the buyers never really went away? Is it possible that their need still existed but just became passive as prices soared, perhaps outside of the realm of reality? I've heard from a few colleagues that appraisals have been an issue this spring and I'm trying to find a way calculate for large scale analysis (ie. for a zip code) what the sale price is compared to the original list price. This will take some time to do since neither ARMLS, nor the Cromford Report reports this figure into a nice neat stat.

It sounds like the Cromford Report is hinting at conditions being right to for another overall "Seller's Market", which already exists in places within certain segments (Arcadia or McCormick Ranch, anyone??).  Please stay tuned for details!

 

Related Articles:

What to Know About Zestimates® & Online Property “Estimates”

Home Maintenance & Heating/Cooling Changes= BIG Reduction in Energy Consumption

Phoenix/Scottsdale Market Activity by Price Range

June 19, 2014

What to Know About Zestimates® & Online Property "Estimates"

On May 27th, 2014 Zillow.com released their Home Value Forecast for 2015.

Three days later on May, 30th, the Arizona Republic reported the news and followed it with a few statements from 2 highly respected real estate analysts who focus solely on the Phoenix Metro Area. Michael Orr, also the Director, Center for Real Estate Theory and Practice at ASU's WP Carey School Of business, flatly said, "Zillow's forecasts are for entertainment purposes." This is from a man who makes a living analyzing data mathematically that comes from every source of data available to analyze our market. He went on to say, "Zillow is not predicting changes in home prices. They are predicting changes in their own Zestimates®."

The second analyst, Tom Ruff of the Information Market, a company that tracks & compiles real estate sales data for Maricopa County, said that the increase Zillow forecasted was "plausible", but that their previous estimates had been "wildly inaccurate."

So that being said, let's look a little closer at the data Zillow reported. If you didn't know it, Zillow has a whole section of their website dedicated to explaining the accuracy and the methodology they use to create Zestimates® and actually reports their margin of error, breaking it down by city.

Screenshot 2014-06-18 15.42.16

In the case of Phoenix, they report their margin of error to be 5.5%. That doesn't sound like a big number, but if you look a little closer it really is significant. Phoenix is the 6th most populous city in the nation & the 13th largest metro area (no kidding- check out Wikipedia). Here, we have homes ranging from $50K or less to homes well into the millions. Zillow's® figure of 5.5% is an average for the entire area.

Today, Maricopa county's median sales price stands at $205,000. If you applied the Zestimate® to this figure, you would see a value as low as $193,725 or as high as $216,275. That's a range of $22,500- kind of a lot of money.

Now, if you were looking at some of the other homes right in the core of the Phoenix/Scottsdale area where I do a lot of work, $500,000 is not uncommon. That creates a range of value as low as $472,500 or as high as $527,500- a range of $55,000.  The bottom line is, if you are selling your home or buying a home, and seriously consider these values when guesstimating your asking price or to make an offer, you're likely to be way off. This will hurt you more than benefit you.

REALTORs® use data derived from comparable sales and factor location (by a busy street or a grocery store loading doc), upgrades & finishes with their comps in a defined area, immediately adjacent the property being evaluated to determining asking prices and offers. Many REALTORs® also know how to think like an appraiser when determining value, which let's face it, will make or break pretty much any sale that's financed. If it doesn't appraise, the deal is most likely not going to work at that price.

If you don't know what kind of work or finishes have gone into a home and even the number of bedrooms, which is not always reported on Zillow or many of the other sites like Trulia, how will a computer know to add or subtract for things like views, where crucial area boundaries are, golf course frontage, additional garages, etc. It won't. So, the accuracy is clearly disputable. I'll go a step further and say with strong confidence that today Zillow overstates the value of my home by a few hundred thousand dollars... outside of the 5.5% it's quoting for our area.

It's really important to know that while the figure you may see could be in the ballpark, you may still be way off.  I know many of us fear the unknown and look to quick answers for comfort, but don’t hold this online info as gospel. The margin of error is too high and the level of impact too great to not go directly to a good source for your data.  Yes, it’s not as quick for a REALTOR® to give you a value for your home, but the benefits of waiting outweigh those of settling with what is a flawed data set. And our (REALTOR®) CMAs are FREE too.

So next time you need to know what your home is worth, ask a REALTOR®. We are usually more than happy to assist you. It's a service I offer to my clients and it is my pleasure to assist you too. All you have to do is ask... Stay cool!

Related Content:

Phoenix/Scottsdale Market Activity by Price Range

Mid-Spring 2014 Phoenix/Scottsdale Market Checkup

How Much Is My Home Worth?

June 2, 2014

Home Maintenance & Heating/Cooling Changes= BIG Reduction in Energy Consumption

Last year, we added just over 900SF to our Paradise Valley home in a long-needed home addition. Faced with an insatiable amount of energy consumption (and I was convinced, an even larger power bill from APS) from that and the crazy number of computers we run at our house (hey, I'm married to a technophile), we made some changes.

Some were needed- we needed an A/C unit for our new addition and our main A/C unit crapped out! They were replaced with 12 & 13-seer units. Then, even though we had no leaks yet, we realized it was just time to recoat the roof, so we added some energy-star,  efficient skylights to add more natural light to rooms in  our home that still needed lights on even during the day.

Some were optional- my husband's love of tinkering and an unreasonable obsession with automating our light dimmer switches (Z-wave switches, if you care to look it up) to be controlled with computer/mobile devices  in 80% of our home. We also opted to switch from a 40-gallon gas water heater and an 88-gallon electric one, to a single, tankless gas water heater installed on the exterior of our home (which meant more usable interior space too!)

Also, during the addition, our electrician kept fighting me and my ridiculous LOVE of incandescent bulbs and steering me toward more energy-efficient LED ones in our kitchen & family rooms- the ones that stay on seemingly ALL. DAY. LONG in a household of 5. I'm not going to lie- I'm still learning to love the "true white" light of these bulbs, which just reminds me of the dismal experiences many women experience trying on swimsuits in the greenish tint of fluorescent bulbs of women's dressing room (men, you will never understand this- just trust me), but I'm trying my best.

Yesterday, my darling husband took the entire history of our energy consumptions since we've lived in our home and plotted it. The findings honestly were staggering... See for yourself.

Electricity 2

Look at the little blue line closest to the X-axis- yes, this is for 2014! You may not be as excited as I am about it, but when you translate that into actual savings on your electric bill, you might be. We haven't equated it to actual $ savings yet because we are on an equalizer plan that averages our consumption and charges us the same bill for about a 6-month period and adjusts accordingly. But since we're not at that point yet, we'll wait on pins and needles to see how much we adjust down.

If you look closely at just our 2013-2014 year-over-year stats, we're on track to use just about HALF of what we used last July!! Half!! Can you imagine?Electricity It's the little things that add up and become big things people. With the forecasted high today in Phoenix of 111-degrees (God help us!), this is where it starts to make a difference.

So, go out, look at your consumption and see what things you can do in your house. And if your spouse starts obsessing about improving energy efficiency. Kiss him/her on the cheek and encourage them. Your interest and inquiry can be as dedicated as an energy audit or a simple as new light bulbs anyone, a weekend sloshing some elastomeric foam on your roof or adding some weatherstripping under your doors (which I still need to do myself...), see what you can do to make your house efficient and start reducing your energy consumption and save your hard earned cash for better things like- SUMMER VACATION or a NEW HOUSE!! ;)

Happy Saving!!!

 

Related Articles:

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Top 10 Reasons Owning Your Home Beats Renting One

8 Steps to Price Your Home For a Quick Sale

May 22, 2014

2014 Last Minute Memorial Day Guide to Fun in Scottsdale & Phoenix!

If you are a last-minute planner like me, you haven't thought about making plans for Memorial Day (it's this weekend, FYI) let alone book anything. Never fear, here are a few options to make sure one of the biggest long weekends of 2014 will be a good one!

Staycations:

Montelucia

Omni Montelucia Resort & Spa in PV is offering an incredible rate of $191/nt for a family of 4 for a standard room. I have to say, I LOVE this hotel. The Moroccan influence throughout is gorgeous. Since it was only built within the last 5 or so years, it's not old like some of the other well-known and notable places in town. If you are a spa person, this is your spot. It's one of my favorite spas in town with a rooftop pool that has a killer view of Camelback Mountain.

Expedia, Orbitz and most of the other hotel booking engines give it 5-stars, you know it's a safe bet and it's about 2/3 of the price of Camelback Inn across the street. It's actually a great place for pictures too, so take your camera and go check it out!

 

HyattHyatt Regency Gainey Ranch in Scottsdale is not far behind the Montelucia with a rate of $229/nt for a family of 4 in their Resort King or 2 Double Beds, but it will probably make you a hero with your kids who will love the 3-story water slide and 10-interconnected pools and a sand beach which is still a great option for little ones.

If you cough up another $10/nt, their Splash into Summer sale gets you free dinner for a child in SWB (12 and under) with each paying adult and free golf for a child (15 and under) with each paying adult. Camp Hyatt 50% off and free parking, along with family activities poolside each day! A second room for the kids 18 and under is available up to 50% off. Of course you must "See terms & conditions" for all the details.

 

FairmontAnd if you're willing to spend $229/nt., consider the Fairmont Princess Resort for the same price. They have an awesome Sonoran Splash resort pool with 2 200ft water slides and Memorial Day weekend starts their after-dark, Techno waterslide featuring fog, disco lights and music, which usually happens on Friday & Saturday nights. My kids have had a blast here on holiday weekends and the resort does a great job of entertaining their littlest guests!

For mom and dad they do also have the phenomenal Willow Stream Spa that you really want to go see for yourself.

Activities & Events

Head over to AZCentral and check out their 21 Events to Celebrate Memorial Day: http://www.azcentral.com/story/entertainment/events/2014/05/20/events-celebrate-memorial-day/9195875/

If water parks are your thing, season passes are available for sale at Wet n Wild in Phoenix from $54.99 if you buy 4 or more! For the season, this includes unlimited park admission, parking, a 20% discount on food and drinks (which you aren't allowed to bring in.... :() & a discount on tickets for your friends. If you spring for the gold pass, you get all of that AND special days to bring a friend for free, $20 off cabana rentals, which you will want when it gets crowded and there isn't a chair to be found, 5 free tube rentals and new for this year 5 free express bands and a free souvenir bottle with $0.99 refills (again, you will definitely want this!). Starting Wednesday, 5/22/14, the park is open daily and maybe might be a great option for those random weeks between when school ends and summer camp starts and when camp finishes and school starts again!

Also, for Lifetime Fitness members, don't forget about the pretty cool water slides at the Scottsdale club. It may not be WetNWild, but it is free with your membership!! :)

This Saturday is International Museum Day. Yes, who knew this existed... I know I didn't. AZCentral also has the details of which museums are participating and offering deals. http://www.azcentral.com/story/entertainment/events/2014/05/11/museum-day-deals-arizona/8974985/

Food

My mother, visiting from Florida, just informed me that it's Arizona Restaurant Week- from 5/17-26 (all the way through the end of the long weekend)! This is one of my favorite weeks of the year where you can go out and try all the participating restaurants that you wanted to, but weren't willing to risk date night for a bad experience. Check out the full list of participants here: http://www.arizonarestaurantweek.com/restaurants/

 

With that, enjoy your long weekend, be safe and thank our veterans and active military members for your freedom to even be able to do anything on this list!!!

 

Related Content:

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Mid-Spring 2014 Phoenix/Scottsdale Market Checkup

Top 10 Reasons Owning Your Home Beats Renting One

8 Steps to Price Your Home For a Quick Sale

Posted in Featured, News
May 6, 2014

Phoenix/Scottsdale Market Activity by Price Range

I thought this was a great chart from the Cromford Report published on Saturday, 5/3/14:

"Let us examine the contract ratio by price range to see which sectors are warming up and which are cooling off. This is for single family detached homes and compares May 1, 2014 with April 1, 2014 and with May 1, 2013.

Price Range May 1, 2013 April 1, 2014 May 1, 2014 1 month change 1 year change
Under $25K 363.6 125.0 75.0 -40% -79%
$25K-$50K 380.8 124.2 168.8 +36% -56%
$50K-$75K 326.7 92.9 87.5 -6% -73%
$75K-$100K 293.8 86.3 90.3 +5% -69%
$100K-$125K 287.5 98.2 94.7 -4% -67%
$125K-$150K 199.9 76.1 73.7 -3% -63%
$150K-$175K 161.6 61.1 63.0 +3% -61%
$175K-$200K 134.5 48.4 53.6 +11% -60%
$200J-$225K 140.7 49.5 52.4 +6% -63%
$225K-$250K 115.4 43.8 48.0 +10% -58%
$250K-$275K 113.3 42.9 46.1 +7% -59%
$275K-$300K 102.0 39.6 40.1 +1% -61%
$300K-$350K 88.7 34.3 33.7 -2% -62%
$350K-$400K 78.1 29.8 28.7 -4% -63%
$400K-$500K 62.7 29.1 28.6 -2% -54%
$500K-$600K 48.5 24.8 24.6 -1% -49%
$600K-$800K 45.2 20.9 22.7 +9% -50%
$800K-$1M 32.3 19.3 17.0 -12% -47%
$1M-$1.5M 23.5 17.8 17.3 -3% -26%
$1.5M - $2M 20.9 17.9 16.9 -5% -19%
$2M-$3M 14.1 13.4 11.8 -12% -16%
Over $3M 6.9 6.1 5.4 -12% -22%

 

The cooling of the market over the last 12 months is very obvious in this table."

As a reminder, the Michael Orr of the Cromford Report defines that the Contract Ratio indicates how "hot" a market is. It specifically measures the number of completed sales contracts relative to the supply of active listings. It is defined as 100 x (Pending Listings + UCB Listings) / Active Listings Exclusing UCB. The higher the number the greater the buying activity relative to supply. Notice that from about $150,000 to $275,000 we're seeing an increase. It also ticked up substantially in the $600,000-800,000 range. Most of the  buyers who were fueling the upper end ($1M-1.5M & $2.5M+) were likely seasonal buyers who've moved on now that the weather is heating up.

For fun, we can take a look at how that compares to the Cromford Market Index for a few cities: Phoenix, Scottsdale, Tempe & Chandler:

What I infer from this info is that if you have a home to SELL in the $150-300K range, you might be in better shape for the latter part of the spring. If you plan to BUY a home in this range, you might want to be prepared for a little more competition by getting your financing in order and watch carefully for new listings and price reductions. Same goes for the $600-800K range. At all of the other price ranges, SELLERs be patient. BUYERs, you will have quite a few options from which to choose, so bear that in mind.

Regardless of what you do, having the best representation is key, so CALL ME at 602-810-1750 for sound guidance and a seamless transaction!

April 25, 2014

Mid-Spring 2014 Phoenix/Scottsdale Market Checkup

After a lackluster start, we're seeing improvement and even though most of the valley is still in a "buyer's market", things maybe inching slowly back to balance. See for yourself:

Cromford Report- Supply, Market & Demand Indices

As a reminder, the Cromford Market Index is defined as "a value that provides a short term forecast for the balance of the market. It is derived from the trends in pending, active and sold listings compared with historical data over the previous four years. Values below 100 indicate a buyer's market, while values above 100 indicate a seller's market. A value of 100 indicates a balanced market."

The Cromford Demand Index is "a value that provides a short term forecast for the demand position within the market. It is derived from the trends in pending and sold listings compared with historical data over the previous four years. Values below 100 indicate a weakness in demand, while values above 100 indicate a stronger than normal demand. A value of 100 indicates a balanced market."

The Cromford Supply Index is "a value that provides a short term forecast for the supply position within the market. It is derived from the trends in active and sold listings compared with historical data over the previous four years. Values below 100 indicate a shortage of supply, while values above 100 indicate an excess supply. A value of 100 indicates a balanced market."

This is a closer look at the overall market index for the Phoenix/Scottsdale Metro Area over the last 6 months:

Cromford Market Index

For some perspective, here's a long-term look (from 2001-present) at the Cromford Index:

In the grand scheme of things, where we are now is not so bad considering where we've come from. The pessimists would like to think we're headed toward another crash, but it's just another bump in our market correction. After the housing bust, we over-corrected and it appears that the market is correcting that too. Hopefully it's just another signal that we're headed back to "balance". What a nice word...

TGIF!

April 24, 2014

Top 10 Reasons Owning Your Home Beats Renting One

OwnVsRent

 

  1. Not having to answer to a landlord.
  2. Paying YOUR mortgage & expenses beats paying someone else’s
  3. Being able to tap into your home equity in case of emergency.
  4. Appreciation (MORE MONEY!) if/when you’re ready to sell.
  5. Not having to move because your landlord booted you.
  6. Being able to deduct the mortgage interest from your taxable income.
  7. Knowing that your housing cost won’t increase much unless YOU cause it.
  8. Knowing any improvements you make directly benefit your quality of living AND your home’s value.
  9. Once your mortgage is paid off, it’s one less expense & you STILL have a place to live!
  10. The cost of owning the average home in the Phoenix/Scottsdale Metro area still costs LESS than renting it! (No, really... look at the chart!)
Buy vs. Rent in Phoenix/Scottsdale Table NY Times- Buy vs. Rent Calculator

 

 

 

 

 

 

Please call me when you've decided you're ready to stop giving your landlord your hard-earned money so you make it work for you! I'll help you buy your own home and start reaping the benefits of home ownership today!

Related links:

Find A Home

6 Tips for Buying a Home in a “Buyer’s Market”

Market Stats

8 Tips to Get Your Home Purchase Offer Accepted

12 Tips for Getting the Best Home Loan for YOU

April 3, 2014

8 Tips to Get Your Home Purchase Offer Accepted

Originally written on 5/23/13 and updated on 4/2/14.

PurchaseContractAre you frustrated that you can't get your offer accepted? Have you made offer after offer with little luck? Are you considering walking away from buying a home?

With the spring market fully underway and the real estate seemingly moving on to greener territories, many buyers in specific areas are finding themselves getting priced out of homes that they easily afforded last fall or just unable to get their offer accepted due to competition from other buyers, unless they're willing to consider just grossly overpaying for a listed home (which by the way, is not a foolproof tactic either...). If you are looking anywhere in Arcadia, Arcadia Lite, parts of the SE Valley, parts of central Scottsdale and many other locations, this may be what you're seeing.  What's a serious buyer to do?

For starters, recognize that the "good" homes (the ones everyone wants, that sell in days) are limited and that you're probably not going to get the deal of the century. For many buyers moving here from other states, the sticker shock alone of some areas and the realization that the Phoenix/Scottsdale Metro area is no longer "ground zero" for the foreclosure crisis (and really hasn't been in years) is half the battle. The next step is to figure out what do you really need to pay (not what you want to pay) to get into a home that you will be comfortable in and can afford. Then, follow these 8 tips and make your purchase a reality:

1. Be prepared to actually complete the purchase

Think like a Boy/Girl Scout.  If you are ready to make a move on a dime, when the time comes... you can move on a dime. Sounds overly simple, but you'd be surprised how many would-be buyers are sort of ready and just leave a few details out. Those few missing details can be the difference between getting the home you want and watching someone else snatch it right from under you. If a seller is faced with multiple offers, those that have all the details complete up front are likely given more consideration because those buyers are probably more likely prepared to execute a contract and complete the purchase. Make sure:

  • You have a fully complete prequal letter if you're using financing
  • If you aren't using financing and are paying with CASH, you have proof of funds to verify the cash
  • Said prequal letter hasn't expired (they do have an expiration date)
  • Have your down payment money ready and liquid
  • If you're renting, you are either prepared to pay for both a mortgage and a lease or you have the ability to exit your lease

Work with your REALTOR and/or lender to make a list and check items off so that you are ready to act quickly.

2. Be REALLY familiar with the area where you want to buy and what homes are selling for (not the asking prices)

If you regularly see homes listed for $300,000, but they sell for about $250,000, you know that there will be room to negotiate. On the flip side- if you see homes listed for $150,000, but selling for $160,000 or more (which is often the case in N Phoenix and the Southeast Valley, among other areas), be prepared to dig in and pay over asking. How do you get your hands on this info? YOUR REALTOR. MLS is a powerful tool, but even my FREE ARMLS SEARCH TOOL won't give a potential buyer that kind of access. You have to enlist the help of a professional, like me. All of this data is available and can be provided to you- all you have to do is ask. Then, when the next home comes up, you'll easily know 1) how the home compares to what's sold & 2) whether you're going to have to pony up and pay more or whether you have room to haggle.  You should know what the last home(s) that you didn't get ultimately sold for because this info will help you on the next go around.

3. Know who the seller is and what their motivation is

Different sellers have goals for different reasons. Sure they all want as much money as they can squeeze out of you, but the motivation will be different. Investors who are flipping the home (fixing up and selling for profit) want to sell as fast as they can to move on, so a quick sale is more desirable to them, especially if they're financing the home and/or improvements.  Families who are moving up or down, may want to make sure that the neighborhood where they raised their kids (like Arcadia, for example), will stay just as fabulous as they think it is. So, they may be less likely to want to sell to an investor who will come in and rent out their home. Homeowners who aren't actually homeowners, but are the executors of an estate or the heirs of a property may have zero personal attachment to the home and just want to sell it fast so they can move on.

Having these details will help you know which points you can play to for your own advantage. Again, your realtor should be able to help you with this by 1) extracting info from the list agent and/or 2) finding this info through public records. I do this all the time for buyers before writing offers.

4. Send a letter about you and your family (or other occupants) along with your offer

Building off of point number 2., if you know the seller may have some personal attachment to the home or neighborhood, having the comfort that the buyers coming in behind them may be using their home for the same reasons as they had their home can be a huge incentive to pick one buyer over another. As corny as it sounds, it has worked for me again and again during multiple-offer situations and instances where seller and buyer are FAR APART on price. Mind you, if you are buying a bank-owned property (there are still a few here and there), they will not care what your situation is. They fall into the category of having zero personal attachment to the home.

Your REALTOR can draft a nice letter and point out where you are in life, what you plan to do, how old your kids are, what your interests are and why YOU would be the perfect buyer for THEIR home. Be careful to include or omit info to put you in a favorable light to the seller (you will have to have a way to extract this info from the Seller or their agent). Your REALTOR should best be able to do this, but give them something to work with so they can paint a pretty picture of you. I've even seen pictures of family members (and pets) come through for a little extra icing.

5. Include a relatively large and/or non-refundable earnest money deposit

It's easy to spot a serious buyer. They are willing to put their money where their mouth is- usually speaking with their earnest deposit that is held at escrow during the purchase.  An earnest deposit is considered "liquidated damages" contractually, so in the event the buyer breaches the contract, this money goes to the seller. Otherwise, it is protected with contractual language.  Sellers don't want to take their homes off the market for buyers to "kick the tires" and maybe really buy the house. If they get an offer where the buyer is willing to make their earnest money non-refundable after inspections, it usually signifies that this buyer wants their home.

Employing this option MUST be worded very carefully though. You do not want earnest money to be non-refundable until AFTER inspections are negotiated AND all parties are in agreement.  You also want to be very sure that you are willing to waive any remaining contingencies like financing (getting your loan) or appraisal (home appraising for at least the purchase price). If you write it up any other way, your hard-earned money could be at risk.

6. Include a "fast close"

When I say a "fast close", I mean that that you are willing to complete the purchase (AKA do all your inspections and complete any financing) as fast as you can.  If: you plan to use financing, there is an HOA for the property you plan to buy, you plan on using funds that are not liquid (available cash), or you have some reason that could keep you from closing exactly when you say you will, be very careful about offering to close quickly.  If you decide to go with this option and any of those previously mentioned items describes your situation, sit down with your REALTOR and any other parties who will be involved and make sure they understand what you are trying to accomplish and the time frame within which they have to perform. If they can't comply, skip this option or else, run the risk of losing your earnest money.

For instance, if you plan to get a home loan, make sure that your lender can meet this deadline given the processing, appraisal & underwriting that must be done to get the home loan. Most sellers do not like when buyers can't close when they say they are going to. In the Phoenix/Scottsdale area, a 30-day close is standard (unlike the northeast where 3-4 month closings are standard), so a fast close would be 14-days or 21-days. If there's an HOA involved, be aware that the HOA legally has 10 business days to respond to requests for closing documents. So, if you are offering a fast close, you'll want to see if a "rush" order can be placed AND if there are any fees to expedite the order.

7. Befriend the seller if you see them in the property

List Agents really don't like when sellers stay home for showings because 1) it can be awkward and 2) sellers frequently have "loose lips".  Typically, the better the rapport, you can have with the seller, the better your odds are of building a strong connection with them, which if there are more than one offer that are pretty close in comparison, can sway the decision. You might mention how you love their choice of paint color in the living room or that you love their pristine, manicured rose bushes in the backyard.  If you grew up in the same little town of 2,000 in the Midwest, or were in the same Greek organization or even just share a mutual love of rare citrus trees, these little things can make a seller more likely to take an offer that isn't exactly what they want. Unless you do something that really is offensive to the seller, this usually doesn't hurt.

8. Be the first offer on the table

The easiest way to beat out all the competition is... to not have any. As a list agent, I've seen homes sit on the market for months languishing because the seller won't reduce the price. Then, after a reduction EVERYONE rushes to the table. Why wait? Offer what you're willing to pay today, but be sure that you and your realtor have some pretty good data to show what the price would be. Chances are, the seller's agent already knows it and the seller does too.  This data had better be pretty black and white, not what you hope and pray the seller/their agent will see.

True story- after much debate I wrote an offer on a home for a buyer.  The next day when I called to confirm the list agent had received it, she said "Oh- did you see that I just reduced our price?".  I had no idea, but because we were the first ones to the table, we did lock up the contract. I see buyers make this mistake over and over- waiting for the home to be the right price for them to make the offer. If a home is priced incorrectly, that is the worst thing to do, especially if the home is desirable and everyone else is waiting for the same thing to happen.

At the end of the day, there are ways to get your offer accepted to purchase a home, no matter how frustrated you may be with the process. You just have to be aware of all your options and do a risk/reward analysis to make sure that you aren't creating an unfavorable scenario yourself.  Please call me with any questions and I'm happy to help you weigh the pros/cons if you're considering a home purchase in the Phoenix/Scottsdale, AZ area.

Happy house hunting!

 

Related Content:

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Phoenix/Scottsdale Market Activity by Price Range

Mid-Spring 2014 Phoenix/Scottsdale Market Checkup

Top 10 Reasons Owning Your Home Beats Renting One

6 Tips for Buying a Home in a “Buyer’s Market”

12 Tips for Getting the Best Home Loan for YOU

 

March 24, 2014

Are Mistakes Lurking in Your Home's MLS Listing?

ErrorsIt's officially spring and many optimistic Phoenix & Scottsdale sellers are listing their homes with the homes of moving on to greener pastures before the heat of the summer. In many REALTOR®s haste to get a home into ARMLS, mistakes aren't uncommon. They can be as harmless as misnaming the assigned neighborhood schools or districts or as egregious as misquoting the number of bedrooms, bathrooms or garage stalls. And there are many in between.  I've seen a few just over the last couple of days.

Last night I saw some acquaintances- parents of one of my children's classmates- at the grocery store. After a move out-of-state, they were returning back to town. Having thought their move was permanent, they had sold their home and planned on never looking back. Alas, it wasn't meant to be... and they were back in town preparing for an inevitable move back to the Valley of the Sun. After discussing how the market had changed since they sold their home last spring, they told me about a few homes they had seen near where I live.  Oddly, there was a home I had seen that I thought might be a good fit for them. I added to my to do list to send them this home so they could check it out before they  headed back home.

However, I could not find it. I thought this was interesting... It was a vacant home, new construction and I knew exactly the location where it was, but it wouldn't turn up. After searching the active and pending listings, I eventually looked through all the expired & cancelled listings to see if I could find it that way. I found an expired listing for the same home and dug deeper. It turns out, the home was actually currently listed... but was coded for the wrong area. So, for many agents who search through Paradise Valley by what we call "map codes" to find homes in very specific locations, it wouldn't turn up at all. In fact, it would show up in an area that would be about 3MI south that feeds into a completely different set of schools.

At $2.5M, that's a pretty big boo boo to make, especially with the inventory of homes as high as it's been in years and fierce competition for a smaller pool of buyers. Since ARMLS feeds many real estate portals like Realtor.com, Zillow & Trulia, mistakes even at a very basic level can exclude a many potential buyers. That's why, it's really important to review your listing once complete for accuracy. Now, I'm not going to say it's inexperience or incompetence by this particular listing agent. I know of him and he works at my brokerage, but in the spring when you're working nearly round the clock on multiple deals for both buyers and sellers, it's not uncommon to be burning the midnight oil.  When you're inputting a listing at 2AM mistakes happen, but it's important to be on the lookout for them and correct them as quickly as possible.

Other mistakes can be omissions like excluding your antique family heirloom chandelier (or washers, dryers, wall-mounted TVs, etc.) from a sale, a selling bonus offered to agents or a bonus to buyers. In every ARMLS listing, there are public remarks which anyone can see and there are private remarks for REALTOR®s only to see. Some of these details, like exclusions, are listed here and even though you can't see them on the listing, you should know what information is listed here as well.

“All men make mistakes, but a good man yields when he knows his course is wrong, and repairs the evil. The only crime is pride.” ― Sophocles

Sophocles was a pretty wise man. I think he was on to something with this statement. Really be vigilant about knowing how your home is represented. If you're not, it can cost you and/or your REALTOR®. Within ARMLS, there are what we call MLS Input Sheets that are printouts of all data that can be represented in a listing and they should be verified once a listing goes active.

Beyond that, just finding the listing in MLS is a great place to start. If after finding a mistake, you ask your REALTOR® to correct something and you're met with indifference or arrogance, perhaps the mistake goes beyond the task and perhaps speaks of the character...  Remember, I'm only a phone call away and can offer you my competence to list and sell your home!